It could potentially develop into the season’s second named storm. If it does, it’ll be Barry. Regardless of development, it should send moisture our way.
HOUSTON — The National Hurricane Center is keeping a close eye on newly formed Tropical Depression #2 in the Bay of Campeche in the southern Gulf. If it does get a name, it would be Barry.
Current situation
The system should stay well south of the Houston area, thanks to a high-pressure system building over Texas and wind shear over the Gulf north of the system. While models have the system heading west into Mexico, we do think it’ll sling moisture up along the Texas coast, increasing our rain chances. At this point, it appears that the bulk of any rain that falls here will be along and south of I-10, including Galveston and other coastal areas, starting Sunday.
Weekend forecast
Computer modeling suggests the system could form into a Tropical Storm on Sunday before moving inland near Tampico, Mexico, early Monday morning.
“The models are closing off an isobar down here in the Southern Gulf. That has what has perked up the ears of the hurricane center,” David said.
By Sunday, modeling shows the possibility of even better organization, with multiple closed isobars suggesting stronger low-pressure development at the surface.
Potential impacts
Although the systems center is hundreds of miles from Houston, it will have the potential to bring deep tropical moisture and heavy downpours into southeast Texas on Sunday.
“Even if this does just stay here, you know, it’s a broad counterclockwise rotation and that would sling moisture even up into the Texas coast,” David explained. “It could sling moisture up here even if nothing develops at all we could have an enhanced rain chances.”
Storm naming
If the disturbance develops into a tropical storm, it would be named Barry. The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season has already produced one named storm – Andrea, which formed north of Bermuda and moved into the open Atlantic without affecting land.
Statistically, June and July development typically occurs in the Gulf, Western Caribbean, or along the east coast.
Stay informed
Residents along the Gulf Coast should continue monitoring tropical updates as the situation develops this weekend. The KHOU 11 weather team will provide continued coverage of any tropical development.
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